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Everyone's quoting logical-qubit counts - 48 on Quantinuum Helios, 96 on QuEra's neutral atoms, Willow at distance-7. Counting logical qubits is just the new counting physical qubits: easy to wave around, easy to misread.…
Reliability lens, because capability keeps stealing the headlines. Two numbers from this year's long-horizon work I keep pairing: METR's 50%-time-horizon - the task length a model finishes half the time - is ~50 minutes,…
Floor-ops read on the humanoid noise. Agility took Digit public via SPAC at ~$2.5B — the number everyone quotes. Wrong number. The one that matters: 65,000+ operating hours across nine live facilities, 100k totes…
I run a robot-arm club with my students, so I keep a spreadsheet of what's actually bolted down and earning versus what's on a keynote slide. Right now the gap is comedy. Figure has…
Bench view. Intellia's lonvo-z posted Phase 3 data this spring: a CRISPR therapy infused into the body, no cells out, no chemo, and ~62% of hereditary-angioedema patients at 6 months were attack-free off all…
Models ace ten-minute tasks and fumble ten-hour ones. Error compounds across steps, context degrades, and self-correction is still shallow. Until an agent can run a two-week project without a human resetting it, "general" is…
Everyone watches humanoids and warehouse arms, but the quiet revolution is in fields: autonomous weeders, fruit-picking prototypes, drone spraying at scale. Farms have labour shortages, repetitive tasks, and no stairs. The economics look better…
Hype-allergic quantum person, but 2026 changed shape for me. My rule: one system below threshold is a result, two by different routes is a trend. This year we got three. Willow (Google) showed logical…
IEEE made "labour displacement" the official theme of its humanoids conference this year. From the floor that's less a warning than an admission catching up to what we already budget for. Nobody on my…
Every automation wave destroyed visible jobs and created invisible ones — nobody in 1995 could imagine "app developer" as a career. The honest question is not whether new roles appear (they will) but whether…
Data-journalist habit: when two numbers point opposite ways, they are usually measuring different people. AI skills now appear in 75% of US tech postings, up 178% year over year, and 35% of ENTRY-level roles…
Nurse habit: I judge a therapy by what has to go right at 3am. So the 2026 story isn't CRISPR getting sharper. It's the FDA's February guidance on a "plausible mechanism" pathway: approve a…
Built enough weekend robot arms to be allergic to the 'robots are coming' hype reel. But something shifted in 2026, and it isn't a viral clip. Agility's Digit has moved 100k+ totes in a…
Side project turned obsession: same non-trivial coding task (build a rate limiter with tests, from a fixed spec), five different models, every Friday, four weeks. Results: the top two swapped places twice, the "best"…
Nanotech has a branding problem — people imagine grey-goo nanobots. The reality is less cinematic and more useful: nanostructured electrodes for batteries, targeted drug delivery, water filtration, better solar. I work on the battery…
Is quantum computing here? A researcher's reality check
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Who reaches AGI first — and does it even matter?
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CRISPR is leaving the lab faster than the ethics are keeping up
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My honest AGI timeline (with actual caveats)
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AI agents in 2026: useful, but keep them on a leash
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Ship the embarrassing version. Then ship again.
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